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Consumption with Constant Absolute Risk Aversion (CARA) Utility

Authors
Affiliations
Johns Hopkins University
Econ-ARK
Johns Hopkins University
Econ-ARK

Consider the optimization problem of a consumer with a constant absolute risk aversion instantaneous utility function u(C)=(1/α)eαC\uFunc(\CRat)= -(1/\CARA) e^{-\CARA \CRat} implying u(C)=eαC\uFunc^{\prime}(\CRat) = e^{-\CARA \CRat} facing an interest rate that is constant at r=R1\rfree=\Rfree-1.[1] The consumer’s optimization problem is

max{C}tT  Et{s=tTβstu(Cs)}\max_{\{\CFunc\}_{t}^{T}}~~ \Ex_{t}\left\{\sum_{s=t}^{T} \Discount^{s-t} \uFunc(\CRat_{s})\right\}

subject to the constraints

Bt+1=(MtCt)RMt+1=Bt+1+Yt+1\begin{aligned} B_{t+1} & = ({M}_{t}-\CRat_{t})\Rfree \\ {M}_{t+1} & = B_{t+1}+Y_{t+1} \end{aligned}

Here MtM_t denotes “market resources,” the consumer’s total resources available for consumption at the beginning of period tt, combining beginning-of-period bank balances BtB_t with current income. The consumer’s idiosyncratic income Yt+1Y_{t+1} exhibits a random-walk deviation from an exogenously-growing trend:

Pˉt+1=ΓPˉtYt+1=Pˉt+1+Pt+1Pt+1=Pt+Ψt+1.\begin{aligned} \bar{\PLev}_{t+1} & = \PGro \bar{\PLev}_{t} \\ Y_{t+1} & = \bar{\PLev}_{t+1}+\PLev_{t+1} \\ \PLev_{t+1} & = \PLev_{t}+\PShk_{t+1}. \end{aligned}

Bellman’s equation relates the value function at time tt to the value function at t+1t+1 through the choice variables and state variables:

Vt(Mt,Pˉt,Pt)=max{C}tT  u(Ct)+Et[βVt+1(Mt+1,Pˉt+1,Pt+1)].\VFunc_{t}({M}_{t},\bar{\PLev}_{t},\PLev_{t}) = \max_{\{\CFunc\}_{t}^{T}} ~~ \uFunc(\CRat_{t}) + \Ex_{t}[\Discount \VFunc_{t+1}({M}_{t+1},\bar{\PLev}_{t+1},{\PLev}_{t+1})].

The first order condition (FOC) for the CARA utility problem is

u(Ct)=RβEt[Vt+1M]\uFunc^{\prime}(\CRat_{t}) = \Rfree \Discount \Ex_{t}[\VFunc_{t+1}^{M}]

and the The Envelope Theorem and the Euler Equation theorem tells us that

VtM=RβEt[Vt+1M].\VFunc^{M}_{t} = \Rfree \Discount \Ex_{t}[\VFunc_{t+1}^{M}].

In the perfect foresight version of the model in which Ψt=0  t\PShk_{t} = 0 ~\forall~t, the Euler equation will be

u(Ct)=Rβu(Ct+1)exp[αCt]=Rβexp[αCt+1]1=Rβexp[α(Ct+1Ct)]exp[α(Ct+1Ct)]=Rβα(Ct+1Ct)=logRβCt+1=Ct+log(Rβ)1/α.\begin{aligned} \uFunc^{\prime}(\CRat_{t}) & = \Rfree\Discount \uFunc^{\prime}(\CRat_{t+1}) \\ \exp[-\CARA \CRat_{t}] & = \Rfree \Discount \exp[-\CARA \CRat_{t+1}] \\ 1 & = \Rfree\Discount \exp[-\CARA (\CRat_{t+1}-\CRat_{t})] \\ \exp[\CARA (\CRat_{t+1}-\CRat_{t})] & = \Rfree\Discount \\ \CARA (\CRat_{t+1}-\CRat_{t}) & = \log \Rfree\Discount \\ \CRat_{t+1} & = \CRat_{t}+\log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}. \end{aligned}

The log(Rβ)1/α\log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} term reflects the intertemporal substitution factor in consumption. Notice that intertemporal substitution takes the form of additive changes in the level of consumption in the CARA utility model, rather than multiplicative changes that affect the growth rate of consumption, as in the CRRA model.

Now suppose we are interested in the case where permanent income shocks are distributed normally, ΨtN(0,σΨ2)\PShk_{t} \sim \mathcal{N}(0,\sigma_{\PShk}^{2}). Then it turns out that the process

Ct+1=Ct+log(Rβ)1/α+ασΨ2/2+Ψt+1\CRat_{t+1} = \CRat_{t} + \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} + \CARA \sigma^{2}_{\PShk}/2+\PShk_{t+1}

satisfies the FOC under uncertainty:

1=RβEt[exp[α(ct+1ct)]]1=RβEt[exp[α(ασΨ2/2+Ψt+1+(1/α)log(Rβ)+ctct)]]1=Rβexp[α2σΨ2/2]Et{exp[αΨt+1]}exp[α(1/α)logRβ]1=Rβexp[α2(σΨ2/2)]exp[α2(σΨ2/2)]exp[log(Rβ)1]1=Rβ(Rβ)11=1.\begin{aligned} 1 & = \Rfree \Discount \Ex_{t}[\exp[-\CARA ({c}_{t+1}-c_{t})]] \\ 1 & = \Rfree \Discount \Ex_{t}[\exp[-\CARA (\CARA \sigma_{\PShk}^{2}/2+{\PShk}_{t+1}+(1/\CARA)\log (\Rfree\Discount) +c_{t}-c_{t})]] \\ 1 & = \Rfree \Discount \exp[-\CARA^{2} \sigma_{\PShk}^{2}/2] \Ex_{t} \{\exp[-\CARA {\PShk}_{t+1}]\}\exp[-\CARA (1/\CARA) \log \Rfree\Discount] \\ 1 & = \Rfree \Discount \exp[-\CARA^{2}(\sigma_{\PShk}^{2}/2)]\exp[\CARA^{2}(\sigma_{\PShk}^{2}/2)]\exp[\log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1}] \\ 1 & = \Rfree \Discount (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1} \\ 1 & = 1. \end{aligned}

Define κ=log(Rβ)1/α+ασΨ2/2\kappa = \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} + \CARA \sigma^{2}_{\PShk}/2, so that (8) becomes:

Ct+1=Ct+Ψt+1+κ.\CRat_{t+1} = \CRat_{t} + \PShk_{t+1} + \kappa.

The expected present discounted value of consumption is[2]

Pt(C)=Ct+(Ct+Ψt+1+κ)/R+(Ct+Ψt+1+κ+Ψt+2+κ)/R2+Et[Pt(C)]=Ct+Ct/R+Ct/R2++κ/R+2κ/R2+3κ/R3+=Ct(1+R1+R2+)+κi=1i/Ri.\begin{aligned} \PDV_{t}(\CRat) & = \CRat_{t}+(\CRat_{t}+\PShk_{t+1}+\kappa)/\Rfree + (\CRat_{t}+\PShk_{t+1}+\kappa + \PShk_{t+2} + \kappa)/\Rfree^{2} + \ldots \\ \Ex_{t}[\PDV_{t}(\CRat)] & = \CRat_{t}+\CRat_{t}/\Rfree+\CRat_{t}/\Rfree^{2}+ \ldots + \kappa/\Rfree + 2\kappa/\Rfree^{2} + 3\kappa/\Rfree^{3} + \ldots \\ & = \CRat_{t}(1+\Rfree^{-1}+\Rfree^{-2}+\ldots) + \kappa \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} i/\Rfree^{i}. \end{aligned}

Now we need InfSumMult: if R>1\Rfree > 1, then i=0i/Ri=(R(R1)2)\displaystyle \sum_{i=0}^{\infty} i/\Rfree^{i} = \left(\frac{\Rfree}{(\Rfree-1)^{2}}\right).

Thus, the expectation of the infinite horizon PDV of consumption is:

Et[Pt(C)]=Ct(111/R)+(κR(1R)2).\Ex_{t}[\PDV_{t}(\CRat)] = \CRat_{t}\left(\frac{1}{1-1/\Rfree}\right)+\left(\frac{\kappa \Rfree}{(1-\Rfree)^{2}}\right).

Given the process for income described above, we have

Pt(Y)=Yt+Yt+1/R+Yt+2/R2+=Pˉt+Pt+(ΓPˉt+Pt+1)/R+(Γ2Pˉt+Pt+2)/R2+=Pˉt(1+Γ/R+(Γ/R)2+)+Pt+(Pt+Ψt+1)/R+(Pt+Ψt+1+Ψt+2)/R2+Et[Pt(Y)]=(Pˉt1Γ/R)+Pts=0Rs=(Pˉt1Γ/R)+(Pt11/R)\begin{aligned} \PDV_{t}(Y) & = Y_{t}+Y_{t+1}/\Rfree+Y_{t+2}/\Rfree^{2}+\ldots \\ & = \bar{\PLev}_{t}+\PLev_{t}+(\PGro\bar{\PLev}_{t}+\PLev_{t+1})/\Rfree + (\PGro^{2}\bar{\PLev}_{t}+\PLev_{t+2})/\Rfree^{2}+ \ldots \\ & = \bar{\PLev}_{t}\left(1+\PGro/\Rfree + (\PGro/\Rfree)^{2} + \ldots \right)+ \\ & \PLev_{t}+(\PLev_{t}+\PShk_{t+1})/\Rfree+(\PLev_{t}+\PShk_{t+1}+\PShk_{t+2})/\Rfree^{2}+\ldots \\ \Ex_{t}[\PDV_{t}(Y)] & = \left(\frac{\bar{\PLev}_{t}}{1-\PGro/\Rfree}\right)+\PLev_{t}\sum_{s=0}^{\infty} \Rfree^{-s} \\ & = \left(\frac{\bar{\PLev}_{t}}{1-\PGro/\Rfree}\right)+\left(\frac{ \PLev_{t}}{1-1/\Rfree}\right) \end{aligned}

The IBC says

Pt(C)=Bt+Pt(Y),\PDV_{t}(\CRat) = B_{t}+\PDV_{t}(Y),

Because the intertemporal budget constraint must hold in every state of the world, the expectation of the PDV of consumption must equal current wealth plus the expectation of the PDV of income. Thus,

Et[Pt(C)]=Bt+Et[Pt(Y)]Ct(111/R)=Bt+(Pˉt1Γ/R)+(Pt11/R)(κR(1R)2)Ct=Pt+(rR)[Bt+(Pˉt1Γ/R)(κR(1R)2)]=Pt+(rR)[Bt+(Pˉt1Γ/R)]r(log(Rβ)1/α+ασΨ2/2(1R)2)\begin{aligned} \Ex_{t}[\PDV_{t}(\CRat)] & = B_{t}+\Ex_{t}[\PDV_{t}(Y)] \\ \CRat_{t}\left(\frac{1}{1-1/\Rfree}\right) & = B_{t}+ \left(\frac{\bar{\PLev}_{t}}{1-\PGro/\Rfree}\right)+\left(\frac{ \PLev_{t}}{1-1/\Rfree}\right)-\left(\frac{\kappa \Rfree}{(1-\Rfree)^{2}}\right) \\ \CRat_{t} & = \PLev_{t} + \left(\frac{\rfree}{\Rfree}\right)\left[ B_{t}+ \left(\frac{\bar{\PLev}_{t}}{1-\PGro/\Rfree}\right)-\left(\frac{\kappa \Rfree}{(1-\Rfree)^{2}}\right) \right] \\ & = \PLev_{t} + \left(\frac{\rfree}{\Rfree}\right)\left[ B_{t}+ \left(\frac{\bar{\PLev}_{t}}{1-\PGro/\Rfree}\right)\right] -\rfree\left(\frac{\log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} + \CARA \sigma^{2}_{\PShk}/2 }{(1-\Rfree)^{2}}\right) \end{aligned}

The Pt\PLev_{t} term reflects the consumer’s idiosyncratic level of permanent income, which has no systematic growth (or decline). The next term reflects the MPC out of total “certain” wealth, human and nonhuman. The final term reflects the combination of the intertemporal substitution motive (in the log(Rβ)1/α\log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} term) and the precautionary motive in the ασΨ2\CARA \sigma^{2}_{\PShk} term, as is evident from the fact that it equals zero if either there is no precautionary motive (α=0\CARA=0) or there is no uncertainty σΨ2=0\sigma^{2}_{\PShk}=0.

Note some peculiar aspects of this solution. First, observe that, marginally, the consumer spends exactly the interest income on capital, dCt/dBt=r/Rd \CRat_{t}/d B_{t} = \rfree/\Rfree. The reason this is peculiar is that the MPC out of capital does not depend on how impatient the consumer is. Impatience is reflected in the change in consumption over time, but not in the level of consumption except as that is affected by the budget constraint.

Second, notice that the effect of income uncertainty on saving is the same in absolute dollars regardless of the level of resources or permanent income.

1Finite Horizon Solution

The following derivations use several results from the Math Facts appendix: FinSum, InfSum, and InfSumMult.

The Intertemporal Budget Constraint tells us that the present discounted value of consumption must be equal to the PDV of total resources:

Pt(C)=Bt+Pt(P)\PDV_{t}(\CRat) = B_{t}+\PDV_{t}(P)

Using FinSum, the PDV of labor income (also called “human wealth” HtH_{t}) is

Ht=Pt(P)=s=tTR(st)Ps=Pts=tTR(st)Γ(st)=Pts=tT(Γ/R)(st)=Pt(1(Γ/R)Tt+11(Γ/R))\begin{aligned} H_{t} = \PDV_{t}(P) & = \sum_{s=t}^{T} \Rfree^{-(s-t)}\PLev_{s} \\ & = \PLev_{t}\sum_{s=t}^{T} \Rfree^{-(s-t)}\PGro^{(s-t)} \\ & = \PLev_{t}\sum_{s=t}^{T} (\PGro/\Rfree)^{(s-t)} \\ & = \PLev_{t}\left(\frac{1-(\PGro/\Rfree)^{T-t+1}}{1-(\PGro/\Rfree)}\right) \end{aligned}

while the PDV of consumption is

Pt(C)=s=tTR(st)Cs=Ct+(Ct+log(Rβ)1/α)/R+(Ct+2log(Rβ)1/α)/R2+=Ct(1+1/R+1/R2+)+log(Rβ)1/α/R+2log(Rβ)1/α/R2+=(Ct11/R)+log(Rβ)1/α(R(R1)2)\begin{aligned} \PDV_{t}(\CRat) & = \sum_{s=t}^{T} \Rfree^{-(s-t)}\CRat_{s} \\ & = \CRat_{t}+(\CRat_{t}+ \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1/\CARA})/\Rfree +(\CRat_{t}+ 2 \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1/\CARA})/\Rfree^{2} + \ldots \\ & = \CRat_{t}(1+1/\Rfree+1/\Rfree^{2}+\ldots) + \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1/\CARA}/\Rfree + 2 \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1/\CARA}/\Rfree^{2} + \ldots \\ & = \left(\frac{\CRat_{t}}{1-1/\Rfree}\right) + \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{-1/\CARA}\left(\frac{\Rfree}{(\Rfree-1)^{2}}\right) \end{aligned}

Therefore we can solve the model by combining (18) and (17) using (14):

Ct=(1[R1(Rβ)1/α]1[R1(Rβ)1/α]T+1)[Bt+Pt(1(Γ/R)T+11(Γ/R))]\CRat_{t} = \left(\frac{1-[\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}]}{1-[\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}]^{T+1}}\right)\left[B_{t}+\PLev_{t}\left(\frac{1-(\PGro/\Rfree)^{T+1}}{1-(\PGro/\Rfree)}\right)\right]

Now recall that in the infinite-horizon case (T=T=\infty), InfSum requires that for human wealth to be well-defined we need the condition

Γ/R<1Γ<R.\begin{aligned} \PGro/\Rfree & < 1 \\ \PGro & < R. \end{aligned}

Why is this? Because if income will grow faster than the interest rate forever, then the PDV of future income is infinite and the problem has no well-defined solution.

Similarly, in order for the PDV of consumption to be finite we must impose:

R1(Rβ)1/α<1(Rβ)1/α<R.\begin{aligned} \Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}& < 1 \\ (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} & < R. \end{aligned}

What this says is that the growth rate of consumption must be less than the interest rate in order for the model to have a well-defined solution. Otherwise, the PDV of future consumption is infinite, and the model does not have a well-defined solution. Note that this amounts to a requirement that there be at least a certain degree of “impatience.”

If these conditions do hold, then the model has a well-defined infinite horizon solution, as can be seen by realizing that if (Γ/R)<1(\PGro/\Rfree)<1 then limT(Γ/R)Tt+1=0\lim_{T \rightarrow \infty} (\PGro/\Rfree)^{T-t+1} = 0 and if R1(Rβ)1/α<1\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} < 1 then limT(R1(Rβ)1/α)Tt+1=0\displaystyle \lim_{T \rightarrow \infty} (\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA})^{T-t+1} = 0. Substituting these zeros into (19) yields

Ct=(1R1(Rβ)1/α)[Bt+(Pt1(Γ/R))]\CRat_{t} = \left(1-\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}\right)\left[B_{t}+\left(\frac{\PLev_{t}}{1-(\PGro/\Rfree)}\right)\right]
=(1R1(Rβ)1/α)[Bt+Ht]= \left(1-\Rfree^{-1}(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}\right)\left[B_{t}+H_{t}\right]
=(R(Rβ)1/αR)Wt= \left(\frac{\Rfree-(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}}{\Rfree}\right)W_{t}

where WtW_{t} is the consumer’s “total wealth,” the sum of human and nonhuman wealth.

Now consider the question “What is the level of Ct\CRat_{t} that will leave total wealth intact, allowing the same value of consumption in period t+1t+1 and forever after?”

The intuitive answer is that if one wants to leave one’s wealth[3] intact, that is possible only if spending is exactly equal to the dividend and interest earnings on one’s total wealth.

Because human wealth is exactly like any other kind of wealth in this framework, it is possible to work directly with the level of total wealth WW. Suppose we assume the consumer will spend fraction κ\kappa of total wealth in each period, and we want to find the κ\kappa that leaves wealth intact.

Wt+1=(WtCt)RWˉ=(WˉκWˉ)R1=R(1κ)1/R=(1κ)κ=11/R=(R1R)=r/R\begin{aligned} W_{t+1} & = (W_{t}-\CRat_{t})R \\ \bar{W} & = (\bar{W}-\kappa \bar{W})R \\ 1 & = \Rfree(1-\kappa) \\ 1/\Rfree & = (1-\kappa) \\ \kappa & = 1-1/\Rfree \\ & = \left(\frac{\Rfree-1}{\Rfree}\right) \\ & = \rfree/\Rfree \end{aligned}

Thus, the consumer can spend only the interest earnings r\rfree on their wealth, divided by the gross return R\Rfree. (The division occurs because we assume that interest is earned between periods rather than within periods; the right intuition is that if you want to preserve your wealth, you can only spend the interest on it and none of the principal).

Note that the coefficient multiplying total wealth in (24) is also divided by R\Rfree. Thus, whether the consumer is spending more than his total income, exactly his total income, or less than his total income depends upon whether the numerator in (24) is greater than, equal to, or less than r\rfree. If we call a consumer who is spending more than his income “impatient,” the consumer will be impatient if

R(Rβ)1/α>r1(Rβ)1/α>01>(Rβ)1/α\begin{aligned} R-(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} & > r \\ 1-(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} & > 0 \\ 1 & > (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA} \end{aligned}

Now note that if Rβ=1\Rfree\Discount=1 (which is to say, the interest rate is exactly equal to the time preference rate so that they offset each other), then (Rβ)1/α=1(\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}=1 regardless of the value of α\CARA so that the consumer is precisely poised on the balance between patience and impatience and exactly spends his income.[4]

The consumer will be impatient, spending more than his income, if Rβ>1\Rfree\Discount>1, and patient, spending less than his income, if Rβ<1\Rfree\Discount<1.

Equation (22) can be simplified into something a bit easier to handle by making some approximations. If β=1/(1+τ)\Discount = 1/(1+\tau), then we can use

LogEps: log(1+Ψ)Ψ\log (1+\PShk) \approx \PShk

and its inverse ExpEps: exp(Ψ)1+Ψ\exp(\PShk) \approx 1+\PShk

to discover that

log(Rβ)1/α/R=(1/α)(logR+log[1/(1+τ)])logR=(1/α)(log(1+r)+log1log(1+τ))logRα1(rτ))r(Rβ)1/α/R1+(α1(rτ)r)\begin{aligned} \log (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}/\Rfree & = (1/\CARA) (\log \Rfree + \log [1/(1+\tau) ]) - \log \Rfree \\ & = (1/\CARA) (\log(1+r) + \log 1 - \log (1+\tau) ) - \log \Rfree \\ & \approx \CARA^{-1}(\rfree -\tau) ) - r \\ (\Rfree\Discount)^{1/\CARA}/\Rfree & \approx 1+(\CARA^{-1}(\rfree-\tau)-\rfree) \end{aligned}

Substituting this into (23) gives

Ct(rα1(rτ))Wt\CRat_{t} \approx \left(\rfree-\CARA^{-1}(\rfree-\tau)\right)W_{t}

Now we can see again that whether the consumer is patient or impatient depends on the relationship between r\rfree and τ\tau. Note also that if α=\CARA = \infty then the consumer is infinitely averse to changing the level of consumption, and so once again the consumer spends exactly his income.

Now a brief note on what “income” means in this model. Suppose for simplicity that the consumer had no capital assets KK, and suppose that income was expected to stay constant at level Yˉ\bar{Y} forever. In this case human wealth would be:

Ht=Yˉ+Yˉ/R+Yˉ/R2+=Yˉ(1+1/R+1/R2+)=Yˉ(111/R)=Yˉ(RR1)=Yˉ(Rr)\begin{aligned} H_{t} & = \bar{Y}+\bar{Y}/\Rfree+\bar{Y}/\Rfree^{2}+\ldots \\ & = \bar{Y}(1+1/\Rfree+1/\Rfree^{2}+\ldots) \\ & = \bar{Y}\left(\frac{1}{1-1/\Rfree}\right) \\ & = \bar{Y}\left(\frac{\Rfree}{\Rfree-1}\right) \\ & = \bar{Y}\left(\frac{\Rfree}{\rfree}\right) \end{aligned}

Now recall that we found in equation (25) that the level of consumption that leaves “wealth” WtW_{t} intact was

Ct=κWt=κ[Bt+Ht]=κYˉ(Rr)=(rR)Yˉ(Rr)=Yˉ.\begin{aligned} \CRat_{t} & = \kappa W_{t} \\ & = \kappa [B_{t}+H_{t}] \\ & = \kappa \bar{Y}\left(\frac{\Rfree}{\rfree}\right) \\ & = \left(\frac{\rfree}{\Rfree}\right) \bar{Y} \left(\frac{\Rfree}{\rfree}\right) \\ & = \bar{Y}. \end{aligned}

So in this case, spending the “interest income on human wealth” corresponds to spending exactly your labor income. This seems less mysterious if you think of income YtY_{t} as the “return” on your human capital asset HtH_{t}. If you “capitalize” your stream of income at rate R\Rfree and then spend the interest income on the capitalized stream, it stands to reason that you are spending the flow of income from that source.

Note also that in this case we can rewrite (28) as

Ct(rα1(rτ))[Bt+Yˉ(Rr)].\CRat_{t} \approx \left(\rfree-\CARA^{-1}(\rfree-\tau)\right)\left[B_{t}+ \bar{Y}\left(\frac{\Rfree}{\rfree}\right)\right].

Note that r\rfree appears three times in this equation, which correspond (in order) to the income effect, the substitution effect, and the human wealth effect.[5] To see this, note that an increase in the first r\rfree basically corresponds to an increase in the payout rate on total wealth (to see this, set Yˉ=0\bar{Y} = 0 and refer to our formula above for κ\kappa, realizing that for small r\rfree, r/Rr\rfree/\Rfree \approx \rfree.) The second term corresponds to the substitution effect, as can be seen from its dependence on the intertemporal elasticity of substitution α1\CARA^{-1}. Finally, the Yˉ/r\bar{Y}/\rfree term clearly corresponds to human wealth, and therefore the sensitivity of consumption to r\rfree coming through this term corresponds to the human wealth effect.

Footnotes
  1. A problem like this was considered in a well-known paper by Caballero (1990).

  2. The Ψt+n\PShk_{t+n} terms disappear when expectations are taken.

  3. Note that this was interpreted as “permanent income” in the 1960s and 70s, but will not be called such in this class. Point out that wealth here is exactly like an asset that yields a dividend PP.

  4. Income here means inclusive of interest income on total wealth.

  5. This is why I introduced the concept of the human wealth effect in my original treatment in the Fisher diagram.

References
  1. Caballero, R. J. (1990). Consumption Puzzles and Precautionary Savings. Journal of Monetary Economics, 25(1), 113–136. 10.1016/0304-3932(90)90048-9