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Decentralizing the Ramsey/Cass-Koopmans Model

Authors
Affiliations
Johns Hopkins University
Econ-ARK
Johns Hopkins University
Econ-ARK

This section shows that under certain very special conditions the

behavior of an economy composed of distinct individual households will

replicate the social planner’s solution to the Ramsey/Cass-Koopmans

model.

1The Consumer’s Problem

Consider first the problem of an individual infinitely lived consumer

indexed by ii who has some predetermined set of expectations for

how the aggregate net interest rate rt\rfree_{t} and wage rate Wt\Wage_{t} will

evolve.

At date tt household ii owns some capital kt,i\kap_{t,i}, and can in principle also

borrow; designate the net debt of household ii in period tt as

dt,i\debt_{t,i}; since we will be examining a perfect foresight solution with

perfect capital markets, the interest rate on debt must match the

rate of return on assets. This means that all that really matters is

the household’s total net asset position,

xt,i=kt,idt,i.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \wNet_{t,i} & = \kap_{t,i} - \debt_{t,i}. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Each household is endowed with one unit of labor, which it

supplies exogenously, earning a wage rate Wt,i\Wage_{t,i}.

Each household solves:

max0u(ct,i)eϑtdt\max \int_{0}^{\infty} \uFunc(\cons_{t,i}) e^{-\timeRate t} dt

subject to the budget constraint

x˙t,i=Wt+rtxt,ict,i.\dot{\wNet}_{t,i} = \Wage_{t} + \rfree_{t} \wNet_{t,i} - \cons_{t,i} .

Integrating the household’s dynamic budget constraint and assuming

a no-Ponzi-game transversality condition yields the

intertemporal budget constraint, which says that the present

discounted value of consumption must match the PDV of labor

income plus the current stock of net wealth:

P0,i(c)=P0,i(W)+x0,i.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \mathbb{P}_{0,i}(\cons) & = \mathbb{P}_{0,i}(\Wage)+\wNet_{0,i}. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

The formulas for these PDV’s are a bit awkward because they must

take account of the fact that interest rates are varying over time.

To make the formulas a bit simpler, define the compound interest factor

Rt1=exp(0trτdτ),\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \RCpnd_{t}^{-1} & = \exp(-\int_{0}^{t} \rfree_{\tau} d\tau), \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

which is simply the compound interest term needed to convert a value

at date tt to its PDV as of time 0.

With this definition in hand we can write the IBC as

0ct,iRt1dt=h0,i+x0,i\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \int_{0}^{\infty} \cons_{t,i} \RCpnd^{-1}_{t} dt & = h_{0,i}+ \wNet_{0,i} \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

where h0,ih_{0,i} is human wealth,

h0,i=0WtRt1dt.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} h_{0,i} & = \int_{0}^{\infty} \Wage_{t} \RCpnd^{-1}_{t} dt. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Each household solves the standard optimization problem taking

the future paths of wages and interest rates as given. Thus

the Hamiltonian[1]

H(ct,i,xt,i,λt,i)=u(ct,i)+(rtxt,i+Wtct,i)λt,i\Ham(\cons_{t,i},\wNet_{t,i},\lambda_{t,i}) = \uFunc(\cons_{t,i}) + (\rfree_{t}\wNet_{t,i}+\Wage_{t}-\cons_{t,i})\lambda_{t,i}

which implies that the first optimality condition is the usual u(ct,i)=λt,i\uP(\cons_{t,i}) = \lambda_{t,i}.

The second optimality condition is

λ˙t,i=ϑλt,i(H/x)λ˙t,i=ϑλt,iλt,irtλ˙t,i/λt,i=(ϑrt)\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\lambda}_{t,i} & = \timeRate \lambda_{t,i} - (\partial \Ham/\partial \wNet) \\ \dot{\lambda}_{t,i} & = \timeRate \lambda_{t,i} - \lambda_{t,i} \rfree_{t} \\ \dot{\lambda}_{t,i}/\lambda_{t,i} & = (\timeRate - \rfree_{t}) \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

leading eventually to the usual first order condition for consumption:

c˙t,i/ct,i=ρ1(rtϑ).\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\cons}_{t,i}/\cons_{t,i} & = \CRRA^{-1}(\rfree_{t}-\timeRate) . \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Note (for future use) that the RHS of this equation does not contain

any components that are idiosyncratic: The consumption growth rate will

be identical for every household. The same is true of the expression

for human wealth, equation (7).

2The Firm’s Problem

Now we assume that there are many perfectly competitive small firms indexed by jj

in this economy, each of which has a production function identical to

the aggregate Cobb-Douglas production function. Perfect competition

implies that individual firms take the interest

rate r^t\hat{\rfree}_{t} and wage rate W^t\hat{\Wage}_{t} to be exogenous. Hence

firms solve

max{Kt,j,Lt,j}F(Kt,j,Lt,j)W^tLt,jr^tKt,j\max_{\{K_{t,j},L_{t,j}\}} \FFunc(K_{t,j},L_{t,j}) - \hat{\Wage}_{t}L_{t,j} - \hat{\rfree}_{t}K_{t,j}

where r^t\hat{\rfree}_{t} and W^t\hat{\Wage}_{t} are the rental rates for a unit

of capital and a unit of labor for one period. Note that, dividing by

Lt,jL_{t,j}, this is equivalent to

max{kt,j}kt,jαf(kt,j)W^tr^tkt,j.\max_{\{ \kap_{t,j} \}} \underbrace{\kap_{t,j}^{\alpha}}_{\fFunc(\kap_{t,j})} - \hat{\Wage}_{t} - \hat{\rfree}_{t} \kap_{t,j}.

The first order condition for this problem implies that

f(kt,j)=r^t.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \fFunc^{\prime}(\kap_{t,j}) & = \hat{\rfree}_{t}. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Under perfect competition firms must make zero profits in equilibrium,

which means, by Euler’s Theorem, that:

f(kt,j)=W^t+r^tkt,j.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \fFunc(\kap_{t,j}) & = \hat{\Wage}_{t}+\hat{\rfree}_{t}\kap_{t,j}. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

3Equilibrium At a Point in Time

Thus far, we have solved the consumer’s and the firm’s problems

from the standpoint of atomistic individuals. It is now time to

consider the behavior of an aggregate economy composed of consumers

and firms like these.

We assume that the population of households and firms is distributed

along the unit interval and the population masses sum to one,

as per Aggregation For Dummies (Macroeconomists). Thus, aggregate assets at time tt

can be defined as the sum of the assets of all the individuals in the

economy at time tt,

Xt=01xt,idi\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \WNet_{t} & = \int_{0}^{1} \wNet_{t,i} di \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

while per capita assets are aggregate assets divided by aggregate population,

xt=Xt/1.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \wNet_{t} & = \WNet_{t}/1. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Similarly, normalizing the population of firms to one yields

kt=Kt/1.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \kap_{t} & = K_{t}/1. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Up to this point, we have allowed for the possibility that different

households might have different amounts of net worth. We now impose

the assumption that every household is identical to every other

household. This assumption rules out the presence of any debt in

equilibrium (if all households are identical, they cannot all be in

debt - who would they owe the money to?). Indeed, in this case, the

aggregate capital stock per capita will equal the aggregate level of

net worth, kt=xt\kap_{t}=\wNet_{t}.[2]

Thus, households’ expectations about Wt\Wage_{t} and

rt\rfree_{t} determine their saving decisions, which in turn determine the

aggregate path of kt\kap_{t}.

There is one important subtlety here, however. In writing the

consumer’s budget constraint, we designated rt\rfree_{t} as the net amount

of income that would be generated by owning one more unit of net worth

(e.g. capital). But if we have depreciation of the capital stock,

the net return to capital will be equal to the marginal product minus

depreciation. The discussion of the firm’s optimization problem did

not consider depreciation because the firms do not own any capital;

instead, they make a payment r^t\hat{\rfree}_{t} to the households for the

privilege of using the households’ capital. Thus the net increment to

a household’s wealth if the household holds one more unit of capital

will be

rt=r^tδ.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \rfree_{t} & = \hat{\rfree}_{t}-\depr. \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

There is no depreciation of labor, so the labor market equilibrium

will be

Wt=W^t=f(kt)r^tkt.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \Wage_{t} & = \hat{\Wage}_{t} \\ & = \fFunc(\kap_{t})- \hat{\rfree}_{t}\kap_{t} . \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

4The Perfect Foresight Equilibrium

We assume that every household knows the aggregate production

function, and understands the behavior of all the other households and

firms in the economy. Understanding all of this, suppose that

households have some set of beliefs about the future path of the

aggregate capital stock per capita {kt}t=0\{\kap_{t}\}_{t=0}^{\infty}. This

belief about kt\kap_{t} will imply beliefs about wages and interest rates

as well {Wt,rt}t=0\{\Wage_{t},\rfree_{t}\}_{t=0}^{\infty}.

The final assumption is that the equilibrium that comes about in this

economy is the “perfect foresight equilibrium.” That is, consumers

have the sets of beliefs such that, if they have those beliefs and act

upon them, the actual outcome turns out to match the beliefs.

Note now that using the fact that xt=kt\wNet_{t}=\kap_{t} in the perfect foresight

equilibrium we can rewrite the household’s budget constraint as

k˙t=rtkt+Wtct=(r^tδ)kt+Wtct.\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\kap}_{t} & = \rfree_{t}\kap_{t} + \Wage_{t} - \cons_{t} % \\ & = (\hat{\rfree}_{t}-\depr)\kap_{t} + \Wage_{t} - \cons_{t} . \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Reproducing from (10),

c˙t/ct=ρ1(rtϑ)=ρ1(r^tδϑ).\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\cons}_{t}/\cons_{t} & = \CRRA^{-1}(\rfree_{t}-\timeRate) % \\ & = \CRRA^{-1}(\hat{\rfree}_{t}-\depr-\timeRate) . \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Now compare these to the equations derived for the social planner’s

problem (with population growth and productivity growth zero) in a

previous section:

k˙t=f(kt)δktct=r^tkt+Wtδktct=(r^tδ)kt+Wtct\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\kap}_{t} & = \fFunc(\kap_{t})-\depr \kap_{t}-\cons_{t} \\ & = \hat{\rfree}_{t}\kap_{t}+\Wage_{t}-\depr \kap_{t}-\cons_{t} \\ & = (\hat{\rfree}_{t}-\depr) \kap_{t}+\Wage_{t}-\cons_{t} \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

and

c˙t/ct=ρ1(f(kt)δϑ).\begin{gathered}\begin{aligned} \dot{\cons}_{t}/\cons_{t} & = \CRRA^{-1}(\fFunc^{\prime}(\kap_{t})-\depr-\timeRate). \end{aligned}\end{gathered}

Since the equilibrium value of r^t=f(kt)\hat{\rfree}_{t}=\fFunc^{\prime}(\kap_{t}),

(23) = (21). And (20) is

identical to (22). Thus, aggregate behavior of this economy

is identical to the behavior of the social planner’s economy!

This is a very convenient result, because it means that if we are

careful about the exact assumptions we make we can often solve a

social planner’s problem and then assume that the solution also

represents the results that would obtain in a decentralized economy.

The social planner’s solution and the decentralized solution are the

same because they are maximizing the same utility function with

respect to the same factor prices (rt\rfree_{t} and Wt\Wage_{t}).

When will the decentralized solution not match the social

planner’s solution? One important case is when there are

externalities in the behavior of individual households; another

possible case is where there is idiosyncratic risk but no aggregate

risk; basically, whenever the household’s budget constraint or utility

function differs in the right ways from the aggregate budget

constraint or the social planner’s preferences, there can be a

divergence between the two solutions.

Footnotes
  1. See The Ramsey/Cass-Koopmans (RCK) Model for the discounted Hamiltonian optimality conditions and Ramsey Growth in Discrete and Continuous Time for the intuition

    of the logic behind the Hamiltonian. is

  2. The results do not change if we permit differences in the levels of wealth across households, but

    this is because we are assuming CRRA utility, perfect certainty,

    perfect capital markets, and various other things. When any of

    these assumptions is relaxed, the distribution of assets does

    matter. For exploration of this more complex and realistic

    framework, see Carroll (1992), Aiyagari (1994),

    Krusell & Smith (1998), Carroll (2000).

References
  1. Carroll, C. D. (1992). The Buffer-Stock Theory of Saving: Some Macroeconomic Evidence. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992(2), 61–156. 10.2307/2534582
  2. Aiyagari, S. R. (1994). Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 659–684. 10.2307/2118417
  3. Krusell, P., & Smith, A. A. (1998). Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy. Journal of Political Economy, 106(5), 867–896. 10.1086/250034
  4. Carroll, C. D. (2000). Requiem for the Representative Consumer? Aggregate Implications of Microeconomic Consumption Behavior. American Economic Review, 90(2), 110–115. 10.1257/aer.90.2.110