This section shows that under certain very special conditions the
behavior of an economy composed of distinct individual households will
replicate the social planner’s solution to the Ramsey/Cass-Koopmans
model.
1The Consumer’s Problem¶
Consider first the problem of an individual infinitely lived consumer
indexed by who has some predetermined set of expectations for
how the aggregate net interest rate and wage rate will
evolve.
At date household owns some capital , and can in principle also
borrow; designate the net debt of household in period as
; since we will be examining a perfect foresight solution with
perfect capital markets, the interest rate on debt must match the
rate of return on assets. This means that all that really matters is
the household’s total net asset position,
Each household is endowed with one unit of labor, which it
supplies exogenously, earning a wage rate .
Each household solves:
subject to the budget constraint
Integrating the household’s dynamic budget constraint and assuming
a no-Ponzi-game transversality condition yields the
intertemporal budget constraint, which says that the present
discounted value of consumption must match the PDV of labor
income plus the current stock of net wealth:
The formulas for these PDV’s are a bit awkward because they must
take account of the fact that interest rates are varying over time.
To make the formulas a bit simpler, define the compound interest factor
which is simply the compound interest term needed to convert a value
at date to its PDV as of time 0.
With this definition in hand we can write the IBC as
where is human wealth,
Each household solves the standard optimization problem taking
the future paths of wages and interest rates as given. Thus
the Hamiltonian[1]
which implies that the first optimality condition is the usual .
The second optimality condition is
leading eventually to the usual first order condition for consumption:
Note (for future use) that the RHS of this equation does not contain
any components that are idiosyncratic: The consumption growth rate will
be identical for every household. The same is true of the expression
for human wealth, equation (7).
2The Firm’s Problem¶
Now we assume that there are many perfectly competitive small firms indexed by
in this economy, each of which has a production function identical to
the aggregate Cobb-Douglas production function. Perfect competition
implies that individual firms take the interest
rate and wage rate to be exogenous. Hence
firms solve
where and are the rental rates for a unit
of capital and a unit of labor for one period. Note that, dividing by
, this is equivalent to
The first order condition for this problem implies that
Under perfect competition firms must make zero profits in equilibrium,
which means, by Euler’s Theorem, that:
3Equilibrium At a Point in Time¶
Thus far, we have solved the consumer’s and the firm’s problems
from the standpoint of atomistic individuals. It is now time to
consider the behavior of an aggregate economy composed of consumers
and firms like these.
We assume that the population of households and firms is distributed
along the unit interval and the population masses sum to one,
as per Aggregation For Dummies (Macroeconomists). Thus, aggregate assets at time
can be defined as the sum of the assets of all the individuals in the
economy at time ,
while per capita assets are aggregate assets divided by aggregate population,
Similarly, normalizing the population of firms to one yields
Up to this point, we have allowed for the possibility that different
households might have different amounts of net worth. We now impose
the assumption that every household is identical to every other
household. This assumption rules out the presence of any debt in
equilibrium (if all households are identical, they cannot all be in
debt - who would they owe the money to?). Indeed, in this case, the
aggregate capital stock per capita will equal the aggregate level of
net worth, .[2]
Thus, households’ expectations about and
determine their saving decisions, which in turn determine the
aggregate path of .
There is one important subtlety here, however. In writing the
consumer’s budget constraint, we designated as the net amount
of income that would be generated by owning one more unit of net worth
(e.g. capital). But if we have depreciation of the capital stock,
the net return to capital will be equal to the marginal product minus
depreciation. The discussion of the firm’s optimization problem did
not consider depreciation because the firms do not own any capital;
instead, they make a payment to the households for the
privilege of using the households’ capital. Thus the net increment to
a household’s wealth if the household holds one more unit of capital
will be
There is no depreciation of labor, so the labor market equilibrium
will be
4The Perfect Foresight Equilibrium¶
We assume that every household knows the aggregate production
function, and understands the behavior of all the other households and
firms in the economy. Understanding all of this, suppose that
households have some set of beliefs about the future path of the
aggregate capital stock per capita . This
belief about will imply beliefs about wages and interest rates
as well .
The final assumption is that the equilibrium that comes about in this
economy is the “perfect foresight equilibrium.” That is, consumers
have the sets of beliefs such that, if they have those beliefs and act
upon them, the actual outcome turns out to match the beliefs.
Note now that using the fact that in the perfect foresight
equilibrium we can rewrite the household’s budget constraint as
Reproducing from (10),
Now compare these to the equations derived for the social planner’s
problem (with population growth and productivity growth zero) in a
previous section:
and
Since the equilibrium value of ,
identical to (22). Thus, aggregate behavior of this economy
is identical to the behavior of the social planner’s economy!
This is a very convenient result, because it means that if we are
careful about the exact assumptions we make we can often solve a
social planner’s problem and then assume that the solution also
represents the results that would obtain in a decentralized economy.
The social planner’s solution and the decentralized solution are the
same because they are maximizing the same utility function with
respect to the same factor prices ( and ).
When will the decentralized solution not match the social
planner’s solution? One important case is when there are
externalities in the behavior of individual households; another
possible case is where there is idiosyncratic risk but no aggregate
risk; basically, whenever the household’s budget constraint or utility
function differs in the right ways from the aggregate budget
constraint or the social planner’s preferences, there can be a
divergence between the two solutions.
Scraps/draft material
subject to
which has Hamiltonian representation
The first Hamiltonian optimization condition requires {math}\partial H/\partial \cons = 0:
The second Hamiltonian optimization condition requires:
Thus, the locus in the phase diagram is unchanged.
However, the locus is shifted down by amount {math}\tau = \sigma.
Now what happens if the government does not face a balanced budget
requirement? Specifically, suppose is the level of government
debt, and the government’s Dynamic Budget Constraint is
The government’s IBC will be the integral of the DBC:
The DBC of the representative family also changes. They can now own
either capital or government debt . If the family is to be
indifferent between the two forms of assets, the interest rate must be
the same.
The assumption of labor augmenting technological progress was made
because it implies that in steady-state and {math}\dot{C}/C = \dot{Y}/Y = \dot{K}/K = \wGro.
implies that at the steady-state value of
Thus, the steady-state capital/output ratio will be higher if capital
is more productive ( is higher), and will be lower if
consumers are more impatient, population growth is faster,
depreciation is higher, or technological progress is higher (assuming
\CRRA>1).
See The Ramsey/Cass-Koopmans (RCK) Model for the discounted Hamiltonian optimality conditions and Ramsey Growth in Discrete and Continuous Time for the intuition
of the logic behind the Hamiltonian. is
The results do not change if we permit differences in the levels of wealth across households, but
this is because we are assuming CRRA utility, perfect certainty,
perfect capital markets, and various other things. When any of
these assumptions is relaxed, the distribution of assets does
matter. For exploration of this more complex and realistic
framework, see Carroll (1992), Aiyagari (1994),
- Carroll, C. D. (1992). The Buffer-Stock Theory of Saving: Some Macroeconomic Evidence. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992(2), 61–156. 10.2307/2534582
- Aiyagari, S. R. (1994). Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 659–684. 10.2307/2118417
- Krusell, P., & Smith, A. A. (1998). Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy. Journal of Political Economy, 106(5), 867–896. 10.1086/250034
- Carroll, C. D. (2000). Requiem for the Representative Consumer? Aggregate Implications of Microeconomic Consumption Behavior. American Economic Review, 90(2), 110–115. 10.1257/aer.90.2.110